Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.034629 0.040247 0.046488 0.053934 0.062579 0.072304 0.084080
2025-11-30 0.026090 0.033495 0.042566 0.054500 0.069800 0.088778 0.114145
2025-12-07 0.020539 0.028472 0.038953 0.053821 0.074401 0.101935 0.141668
2025-12-14 0.016571 0.024468 0.035566 0.052319 0.077018 0.112186 0.166245
2025-12-21 0.013700 0.021359 0.032713 0.050794 0.078942 0.121232 0.189886
2025-12-28 0.012108 0.019812 0.031792 0.051803 0.084506 0.136053 0.223919
2026-01-04 0.010680 0.018262 0.030573 0.052049 0.088732 0.149131 0.256762
2026-01-11 0.009489 0.016899 0.029418 0.052151 0.092599 0.161937 0.290676
2026-01-18 0.008601 0.015909 0.028725 0.052887 0.097546 0.177044 0.330430
2026-01-25 0.007940 0.015220 0.028444 0.054269 0.103752 0.195022 0.377624
2026-02-01 0.006963 0.013805 0.026649 0.052582 0.103984 0.202026 0.405002
2026-02-08 0.006286 0.012869 0.025623 0.052206 0.106629 0.213806 0.443072
2026-02-15 0.005658 0.011958 0.024554 0.051652 0.108947 0.225435 0.482874
2026-02-22 0.005257 0.011462 0.024251 0.052626 0.114533 0.244365 0.540552
2026-03-01 0.004761 0.010694 0.023287 0.052067 0.116778 0.256601 0.585473
2026-03-08 0.004252 0.009829 0.022005 0.050635 0.116906 0.264268 0.621218
2026-03-15 0.003803 0.009037 0.020781 0.049164 0.116731 0.271200 0.656156
2026-03-22 0.003580 0.008740 0.020628 0.050142 0.122349 0.291954 0.726533
2026-03-29 0.003328 0.008341 0.020190 0.050380 0.126225 0.309107 0.790483
2026-04-05 0.003093 0.007950 0.019720 0.050479 0.129766 0.325881 0.855770
2026-04-12 0.002914 0.007678 0.019508 0.051191 0.134938 0.347299 0.935933
2026-04-19 0.002783 0.007512 0.019537 0.052529 0.141902 0.374104 1.034016
2026-04-26 0.002516 0.006952 0.018491 0.050896 0.140782 0.379860 1.075905